Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 5.234966 5.691325 6.200345 6.816926 7.553139 8.417004 9.527974
2025-02-02 4.991496 5.665360 6.481779 7.573310 9.046112 11.054987 14.200159
2025-02-09 4.631501 5.429813 6.461413 7.959992 10.223829 13.837531 21.069485
2025-02-16 4.288820 5.160174 6.347633 8.203145 11.326774 17.245265 33.819175
2025-02-23 3.963257 4.866617 6.151514 8.287711 12.261349 21.284505 62.482766
2025-03-02 3.586094 4.455681 5.724091 7.914527 12.263551 23.549477 112.170294
2025-03-09 3.333187 4.194555 5.486159 7.814691 12.812986 28.344763 687.943995
2025-03-16 3.054439 3.868777 5.107337 7.391552 12.511035 30.299404 NaN
2025-03-23 2.909668 3.729144 5.008523 7.471395 13.484654 40.452907 NaN
2025-03-30 2.754878 3.560154 4.840951 7.385222 14.024279 51.910942 NaN
2025-04-06 2.595419 3.371388 4.620014 7.150628 14.053259 61.720532 NaN
2025-04-13 2.431870 3.165463 4.351440 6.774784 13.508099 64.334116 NaN
2025-04-20 2.373679 3.133694 4.402870 7.151087 15.930100 200.477492 NaN
2025-04-27 2.368252 3.186936 4.616781 7.987062 21.616812 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.309100 3.146226 4.652447 8.420777 26.965197 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.237528 3.078302 4.627011 8.696370 32.863817 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.156968 2.988342 4.546339 8.795376 38.533634 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 2.044629 2.835003 4.319140 8.384610 37.440263 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.965136 2.735122 4.194618 8.276775 40.653396 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.866077 2.594972 3.973570 7.810731 37.489325 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.815091 2.537865 3.923586 7.900580 44.261566 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.755517 2.461747 3.825699 7.806636 48.130824 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 1.689572 2.370776 3.688497 7.548736 47.587592 NaN NaN